Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Liverpool - Arsenal England - Premier Prediction

Liverpool - Arsenal
21.04 21:00
Arsenal could hold the key to the destination of the Barclays Premier League as they play the top three clubs in the closing weeks of the season, beginning with Liverpool at Anfield on Tuesday night.
Both teams have been knocked out of cup competitions by Chelsea in recent days but while Arsenal have the Champions League semi-final with Manchester United to look forward to, this is it for Liverpool.
With fourth place seemingly assured for the Gunners, and the first leg against the Red Devils just a week away, it's fair to say this game isn't the top of Arsene Wenger's priorities.
If the Frenchman feels any of his FA Cup side need freshening up ahead of Europe, I wouldn't be surprised to see him rest a few key players.
That's not to say Arsenal will roll over here. They are unbeaten since November in the league and are sure to relish their importance in the title race now the pressure is off them in the competition.
The pressure is firmly on Liverpool. They are still clinging on to the hope Manchester United will slip up in at least two of their remaining seven games while trying to maintain their own charge.
They've done well in recent weeks, winning five in a row in the league including a vital 1-0 victory at Fulham courtesy of an injury-time goal from Yossi Benayoun.
Apart from that game, a current theme recently for the Reds has been their ability to score early.
Liverpool have found the net inside the first 28 minutes in six of their last seven games, and inside the first eight minutes in their last three home games.
This trend isn't a surprising one given the high tempo they play at Anfield, particularly come the business end of the season, and this style isn't about to change now they only have the league title to fight for.
Looking at Arsenal's recent results, early goals have also been a feature.
A goal has been scored inside 18 minutes in each of their last five games and given their excellent run of form they are more than capable of exploiting any gaps Liverpool leave early on should they go for the jugular.
The even money bet365 offer about the first goal being scored inside 28 minutes is the way we'll go, while we'll chance a point on the first goal being scored in 0-10 minutes at 7/2 with the same firm.
As far as the win market goes, the absence of Steven Gerrard has to be considered before backing Liverpool at even money, though Rafael Benitez's team have scored eight goals without him in their last two games.
With both teams in good form there is little to choose between the two, which brings in the draw at 12/5, while a repeat of the reverse fixture at the Emirates (1-1) is the 11/2 market leader in the correct score betting.
Tip: Home/Draw, Odds 1.8/3.1

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