Sunday, April 26, 2009

Bologna - Genoa Italy - Serie A Prediction

Bologna - Genoa
26.04 15:00
The stakes are really high as the hosts are fighting for survival, whereas Genoa are battling for the Champions League place. Felsinei have replaced Mihajlovic with experienced Papadopoulo, but the change produced no results so far. Bologna were hammered in Palermo and they thus stayed in the relegation zone, at a same distance from Torino and Lecce, who both lost their games. Reggina kept their survival hopes alive by beating Atalanta and three of these four teams will get relegated as Chievo have climbed to safety. Genoa disappointed their fans by losing at home to Lazio but they kept the advantage over Fiorentina. Gasperini’s team can profit from the fact that their rivals Fiorentina and Roma will play each other.

Bologna recorded an embarrassing defeat in Palermo

Around hundred fans waited for the team to return from Sicily and even tried to clash with the players. The team conceded five against Palermo but should have conceded even more and that game showed that Bologna probably had the worst defence in Serie A. They are making a lot of mistakes and our claim that the club were wrong to sack Mihajlovic proved correct. The players have lost the confidence and the team don’t have any creative players. These are the main reasons for the poor results. They are now on a six-match losing run and they are likely to have a lot of problems against Genoa as well. We feel that Papadopuolo wouldn’t mind one point from this match as that would end the losing run. A lot will depend on the outcome of the match in Turin, which will be played at the same time. Bologna don’t have such an easy fixture list but the opponents are not the problem at the moment. The hosts will be weakened as Britos, Bombardini, Lavecchia and Volpi are still out.

Genoa deservedly lost to Lazio
They have created a couple of good chances but that were simply not the Genoa we had seen against Juventus. Gasperini denied that his team were tired but they had looked out of breath in the second period. In spite of the defeat they remained fourth and if they beat Bologna, and Fiorentina fail to beat Roma, they would make a giant step towards the Champions League. ‘Il Principe” Milito returns to the team after the lengthy spell on the sidelines and that will be a big boost for the team. Gasperini will not discard his attacking approach and the visitors will try to take all three points. They have shown a lot of improvement on the travels, having taken 10 points from the last 4 away games. They failed to beat Bologna in the first part of the season, but Bologna played much better in away games under Mihajlovic. Genoa will have a lot of space to exploit.

Betting verdict

Judging by the last round, Bologna don’t have much to hope for in this match. Mihajovic was playing 4-5-1 with Di Vaio as a lone striker and the first time he fielded two strikers his team was hammered. Papdopoulo will also start with Di Vaio as a lone striker, with Adailton behind him and we don’t see why Menarini family changed the coach as the new one made no changes to the playing style. We believe that Genoa will win this match and the odds are even better than we expected.
Tip: Genoa, Odds 2.4

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