MIFK - Haka Finnish Veikkausliiga Prediction

MIFK - Haka
17.06 17:30
MIFK has had really good start to the season and have played better than they were estimated to. They are on fifth place, only 3 points from the top. Their defence has been best in the league with todays opponent Haka. Their form is quite good with DWWDDD in last six games. MIFK played their last game on sunday against Lahti. This might be a problem for MIFK since they only got 2 full days rest. In sundays game MIFK had to work really hard to get the point. Lahti was better team and could have ended the game, but their finishing was of, with three shots on bar for example. MIFK fought till the end and equalized on 92 min. I believe that this game will affect MIFK players in this Haka game, since Haka is coming from short vacation with fresh legs. As I said, MIFK has been better this year than anticipated. This is mostly due to great performance of midfield. Gruborovics has improved his game a lot from last year, Simunac has been a positive surprise and Niskala has been showing his best performance. Goalkeeper Långbacka was a mystery before the season, but has proved his skills and nobody remembers that MIFK first goalkeeper is still recovering from injury. Defence was in trouble last game allowing too many chances for Lahti. It has performed well since MIFK has allowed only 5 goals, but based on last game it will have difficulties with fast Haka forwards and Strandwall`s centerings. Out with injury are Ochieng(GK), Pronevych, Voloshin and Blomberg. This won`t affect MIFK starting 11, since all these players have been out for couple games already.
Looking for more wins
Haka has also surprised with their start of season. They were estimeted to be in the middle of tables, but they are currently topping the tables, with one game less played than other top teams. They are in great form with four consecutive wins in the league and WWWWDD record from last 6. Their last game was in Finnish cup against minor league team, which Haka won 7-0. Haka`s strengths are defence and midfield. Defence has allowed 5 goals in 9 games. Haka Goalkeeper Janne Korhonen is among 3 best in Veikkausliiga. Center back Corpache is best player in the league at the moment. Side backs are fast and good at headers (Holopainen 5 goals). Midfielder Ojala also helps the defence a lot. Midfield is led by experienced Ristilä who is good all around player. Strandwall and Innanen are fast and skilled wingers. Strandwalls shot and passes have been great this year (2 goals and 5 assists so far). Forwards are Haka`s weakest link. Both forwards scored a hat-trick in the cup-game, but it remains to see if they begin to hit in the league also. Haka is missing side back Viljanen (U21) and injured Parviainen. Viljanen belongs to starting 11, but Mattila is good replacement for him.
Haka slight favorite for me
I think Haka is favorite to win this match. Because Mifk is so strong home side and possibility for a draw is big, I won`t bet on Haka`s straight win. I calculate AH(0) odds 48-52 on Haka`s favor. With these propabilities only medium bet.
Tip: Haka AH (0), Odds 2.2;