Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Barcelona - Manchester United UEFA - Champions League Prediction

Barcelona - Manchester United
27.05 20:45
The final game is in front. Barca, formally host, had an excellent season in Spain, wining both titles, league and cup. Their superiority was visible in Madrid where they humiliated an arch rivals, scoring six times! Fans were suspicious when Frank Riijkard was substituted with a coach of younger selections at the club. But, Guardiola got rid of Deco and Ronaldinho (biggest stars from previous season) and made a squad younger. Attacking performance (scored 30 goals in 12 CL games, btw.) deserved admiration of whole football Europe. Wining an European title would be a crown of excellent season. But, won’t be easy. First reason is the opponent. Barca played four times against English clubs, one time won the competition, but three times was eliminated. Big problem is when someone cut their passing play. Whatever Spanish side says, admitting, or not, they were outplayed in semi-final. If referee allows tough game from the start with many fouls and challenges, they’ll be in a big trouble. Eto’o, Messi and Henry can’t get a ball, midfield already has a player less (formation 4-3-3) and defense is fighting against the storm. Here we come to the second big problem. Three very important players won’t play. Abidal and Dani Alves are suspended, while Marquez and Milito are injured. It means Puyol and Silvinho will be on the sides, Toure and Pique as the center backs. But, that’s not all, Henry and Iniesta have injury problems. They’re expected to play, but the question is, are they fully fit.
Ferguson seeks place in history
United take on Barcelona on with the aim of becoming the first team to defend the Champions League title and join the clubs who did it in the previous format of competition (1956-60 Real Madrid, 1961-62 Benfica, 1964-65 Inter Milan, 1971-73 Ajax, 1974-76 Bayern, 1977-78 Liverpool, 1979-80 Nottingham Forest FC). Sir Alex Ferguson and lads are superior in England, wining the Premier League again and easily. There are some opinions this team is the best in United’s history. In the previous CL round, they passed Porto and humiliated Arsenal. Tonight, their opponent will be much harder, one of the best European teams. Sir Alex knows what is the weakest link in Barca’s machine and will try to use their wounded defense line. He has no worries about missings, just suspended Fletcher (will be substituted by Park more likely than Anderson). But, the real secret is condition of Rio Ferdinand’s injury. He says he is “fine”, but he has been out for three weeks with a calf injury. If he’s not fully fit, there will be two possible problems. First, half-injured Rio will have a task to stop the best strikers in Europe. Second, if Jonny Evans will substitute him (in this case, over is very possible). It is very important for them what criteria referee will establish from the start. Will he allow tough challenges, or will cut the play for easy touching.
Best we can see from the game
I give a clear advantage to United. My reasons are nearly similar like in semi-final. 1.English style of play against Spanish, 2. Ferguson against Guardiola, 3. Barca`s defense. Simply, Man.Utd. is stronger. But, at the same time, two reasons for limiting the stake. First, won’t say a big wisdom, but this is final and everything is possible, as always. Second, again unknown referee. Ovrebo didn’t see Pique handed the ball from two meters distance. Won’t write about the things outside the football, but really hope Swiss Massimo Busacca will be on the game level.
Tip: Manchester United, Odds 2.7;

Sunday, May 24, 2009

GAIS - Kalmar Sweden - Allsvenskan Prediction

GAIS - Kalmar
24.05 17:00
GAIS squad is playing worse in every round, which brought them to the low 14th position in the standings. This team has only 9 points out of first 10 rounds, which is really a catastrophic record. However, I have to admit that nobody expected anything better from them, as their performances have been identical in every season. In the past three years, they always played bad, fought for survival in the league until the very end and always somehow managed to avoid relegation. Their fans are afraid this could be the year when their squad could return to Superettan but believe in themselves saying “The hopes dies last!”. After two consecutive home defeats, they’re awaiting last year’s champs – Kalmar squad. Judging by their current form, GAIS squad should be very satisfied even by winning a point in this match.
Improving champs
Last year’s champs, Kalmar, have started this season on a pretty bad note, but are slowly returning back to life and are getting better and better. Firstly, the celebrated over Goeteborg in Super cup by 1:0 winning that title, just to start the season unexpectedly poor. In the first 5 rounds, they only won one point, managing to drop out of the national cup at the same time, a competition where they played in the finals last season. Their fans and the board got scared that there won’t be a chance for defending the league title. But, their squad awoke and recorded 4 wins and only 1 loss in the following 5 rounds, with a 10:4 goal difference. The only loss was against league leaders Goeteborg, who defeated them at their home ground by 2:1. Kalmar are now in a very good form and I’m convinced they will keep it that way after this round too. Their players stated GAIS are a very unpleasant squad and that a match against them has to be taken seriously,. Nevertheless, they know they’re able to use all their mistakes and record that important win. Kalmar would get back to the top of the table by winning in this game, and will surely not gamble with such a great opportunity.
Kalmar are one class above
Visiting Kalmar possess a team that’s at least one class above their rivals and probably the biggest relegation candidate this year, GAIS, in terms of quality, GAIS have been on the bottom of the league for years, and always managed to survive but such luck won’t last forever. Kalmar are playing very good and I’m convinced they will get a win at this road game against very bad GAIS, at the same time making the hosts’ life even more complicated. The odds are still great and worth taking for medium-high stakes.
Tip: Kalmar, Odds 2.4;

Slaven - Hajduk Croatia - 1.NHL Prediction

Slaven - Hajduk
24.05 16:30
Last home match for Slaven this season and still has some importance for them. They are two points behind Rijeka and only win would keep them in the race for the 3rd spot. 4th spot leads to EL too, but from the 3rd they will have one round less to play.Also, coach Petković is leaving club at the end of the season and some of the players too, so they will be highly motivated, like always when playing Hajduk or Dinamo in front of their crowd.
For Hajduk, this match has absolutely no meaning at all, and they will rest almost all available players for 2nd leg of the national cup next Thursday against ancient rivals from Zagreb(0-3 from the first leg). Coach Miše admitts that he waits for Thursday and that this match has no meaning for him except for testing some of the fringe players.
Hajduk was regular Slaven's victim few years ago but they improved that in last few matches at Koprivnica. Still, Slaven is a typical home team(sucks away) and surely a team with bigger motivation between these two. Their top striker is, according to some rumours, close to signing for Hajduk along with some of his team mates as well who are also close to getting transfered to other clubs. Slaven will want it more, have full squad and winning Hajduk would be a perfect closure of another solid season in front of their fans. Im quite confident that they won't lose this, and this should also go over 2.5, maybe even 3.5 goals. 3-2 is my call.
Tip: Slaven, Odds 2.4;

Chievo - Bologna Italy - Serie A Prediction

Chievo - Bologna
24.05 15:00
This is one of the most important matches in Serie A this weekend as the outcome of the match could decide the third team to go down, besides Reggina and Lecce. Veronesi brought one point from Genoa and they are now four points clear of Bologna, which means that they will mathematically ensure survival with one point from this match. To be honest, they deserved a mid table finish considering how well they played in the second part of the season. Bologna are one point adrift of Torino, the team they shared spoils with two weeks ago. Emiliani will host indifferent Catania in the last round and they will win that game. The only problem is that Torino expect to beat Genoa this weekend and they play Roma, who will probably have nothing to play for by then, away next weekend.
Chievo are better on the travels
Bentegodi are always half empty, rarely do we see more than 15,000 people. Chievo have got much smaller fan base than Verona and not even the uptrend in club’s fortunes could change that. The Flying Donkeys won more points away from home, having won no less than five away games. However, they will be happy with the fact that they don’t have to attack Bologna as one point would be more than enough. That will probably change their approach in this match. Di Carlo managed to improve the attack as Chievo scored just nine goals in the first part of the season, while they are scoring much more now. Bologna never won an away game against Chievo and that is why the hosts are confident that they will not lose. Di Carlo are still without several long-term casualties but the key players are all ready. He will again field 4-3-1-2 formation, which worked as a charm in most of the games this season.
Bologna sent Lecce to Serie B
Emiliani scored the winner in the dying moments of the match and thus kept their survival hopes alive. Papdopulo, who replaced Mihajlovic, believes that his team will be able to stay in Serie A but Torino will have to slip up in order for that to happen. The Bulls will play Roma away next weekend and everything is possible in the final round. Besides, the odd results in the final round are Serie A specialty. Felsinei made their life difficult by losing to Reggina, which was probably the key game of the season. If they had won that match, they would have been much closer to survival but the things are very tricky now. To be honest, considering the way they played this season, Bologna deserved to go down. Volpi is suspended and several other players are injured but everyone at Bologna are dispensable, apart from Di Vaio.
Betting verdict
The bookies are suggesting that the teams will share spoils in Verona, just look at the odds on draw. We are not sure that will happen as even though Chievo would be satisfied with one point, Bologna certainly would not. We should also point out that Chievo never took part in the aforementioned odd results and that is why they were relegated to Serie B two seasons ago. We will take very good odds on hosts, who are by far the better team here. The odds are worth a smaller stake.
Tip: Chievo, Odds 3.25;

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Cottbus - Leverkusen Germany - 1. Bundesliga Prediction

Cottbus - Leverkusen
23.05 15:30
In the last match in Stuttgart they showed the remarkable fight but unfortunately they lost.After the quickly lost goal already in 17 for minute, then showed character.They outweighed the definitely more powerful VFB team but unfortunately Jens Lehmann has always defended their shoots.Timo Rost and Ervin Skela with one`s rallyes into a penalty area very much they have often escaped for VFB defenders.Only Dennis Sorensen Danish international defenders in Energie Cottbus he was playing poorly very much.Today Bojan Prasnikar, Slovenian coach Energie which from 2007 he is leading this team,he will put on Stiven Rivic from Cost Rica.In the last match he appeared from the very good side,and today the coach will give it the chance of the game from the beginning.Prasnikar he knows that it is a match for living for its squad and the considerable challenge.In his career a long time ago he didn`t play such an important match as the one today`s.He must place his team without 3 crucial players:Rangelov,Iliev and Jelic.These are crucial attackers of its team, without which he will have to advise himself.He will use 4-5-1 formation with only Jula lone striker.But midfield line-up will be really strong Kukielka,Timo Rost,Rivic,Skela and Jiayi Shao from China.Defence line-up will be also strong,will play Cagdas Atan Turkish defender,very experienced 34 years Mario Cvitanovic and also Daniel Ziebig.Stanislav Angelov will be offensive defender here, he score one goal in this season and very much he often helps his midfielders.
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen in the last match he crushed Moenchengladbach as many as 5-0.This match was excellent to their according.Strikers demonstrated very good form.Helmes and Kiessling they shot after the goal in this meeting.They returned many shots at goal Moenchengladbach but Belgium goalkeeper Logan Bailly he defended a lot of shots.Also midfielders Gonzalo Castro,Renato Augusto,Tranquillo Barnetta they played the phenomenal competition.Gonzalo Castro was a player of the match in my opinion and its versatility she will be helping the team if he doesn`t he will change club after this season.Bruno Labbadia coach Leverkusen once again will play Helmes and Kiessling in up front.But in midfield line he will implement a few changes.Sinkiewicz and Kroos won`t play today and into their place they will play Vidal and Rolfes. This is good news for Energie because this players they are without the form.Renato Augusto,Tranquillo Barnetta they will play once again from the beginning.Castro, M. Friedrich, Haggui, Kadlec will play in defence so without changes.
Home win
Energie must win today if they want to play in the next season in Bundesliga. Moenchengladbach will play with Borussia Dortmund and Arminia Bielefeld will play with Hannover so Energie he is having a very good chance of the maintenance,they must only today win. For me also odds for home win is good and Energie will win here.
Tip: Cotbus, Odds 2.5;

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Shakhtar - Werder UEFA - UEFA Cup Prediction

Shakhtar - Werder
20.05 20:45
Sukru Saracoglu stadium in Istanbul is the place where Shakhtar Donetsk and Werder Bremen will contest the last Uefa Cup final. Shakhtar hope to become the first Ukrainian side to win a European trophy since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Formal hosts, last season`s Ukrainian champions, go into the game after thrashing Lugansk 3-0 away from home to clinch second place in this year`s championship behind runaway champions Dynamo Kiev. That has secured a place in the third qualifying round of next year`s Champions League. On the road to final, they eliminated Tottenham, CSKA Moscow and Olympique Marseille. In semi-final they passed their fellow citizens, mentioned Dynamo. In all those rounds, Ukrainian side was outsider. Tonight, for the first time they’ll be the favorites. They’re full of confidence and surely won’t luck in motivation (beside all competitive motives, I’m sure Rinat Akhmetov promised a more than lucrative reward for the trophy). Boss Mircea Lucescu has no problems with missing players. Aleksandr Kucher served his suspension ban, while Jadson is set to play despite a recent knock. Tomas Hubschmann is suspended, but he can be replaced, easily.
How without Diego?
Werder want their first major European honor since the 1992 Cup Winners` Cup. As their European hopes in Bundesliga vanished, this will be the chance to save the season. Their performances in Uefa Cup were excellent and they fully deserved this final. They were better than: AC Milan, Saint Etienne, Udinese, but the sweetest victory came at the end, against their arch rivals Hamburger SV. Werder scored 15 goals on these 8 games, showing great force in attack. And there we come to reasons for Thomas Schaaf’s headache. The best player, team’s brain and playmaker on the pitch, leader in assists and one of the best scorers, Diego is suspended (going to Juve, btw.)! Werder definitely isn’t the same team without him. But, that’s just a beginning. Key striker Almeida is also suspended. Here Schaaf’s headache turns into migraine, Mertesacker and Jensen are injured and won’t play. Naldo, Pizarro and Rosenberg also have some injury problems and their appearance is under the question mark! Four keys won’t play and another three are in doubt. Enough for a panic attack. And enough to be declared as outsiders. I expect a cautious start from them where they’ll wait a chance from some set-up plays, or Özil’s run on the wing
No second chance
All those missings on German side gave a slight advantage to Ukrainians (bookies give slight to Germans, btw.). This is the final, no re-match, and many weird things happened already in such games. But, for me Shakhtar is closer to victory, odds are more than sweet and simply feel Wiese will make another brutal mistake. Limited stake.
Tip: Shakhtar, Odds 2.9; Over 2.5 Goals, Odds 1.8;

Monday, May 18, 2009

Orgryte - Hacken Sweden - Allsvenskan Prediction

Orgryte - Hacken
18.05 19:00
Last year Orgryte won the Swedish Superettan, which enabled them to promote to Allsvenskan. However, nobody in their club expected such a bad start to the season. In the 8 rounds played, Orgryte only have one point won on their account. They managed to hold the visiting Brommapojkarna to a 1:1 draw, but it would be fair even if they wom that match. As far as their road games are concerned, they got swept by Malmoa (0:3), Goeteborg (0:3), Trelleborg (1:2) and Halmstadt (1:2), while in between they got knocked out of the national cup to lowly Gunilse (2:0), a team that was a complete underdog in that match. They maybe revamped a bit with their most recent performance and that draw against Brommapojkarna, however, they are still playing catastrophic and will hardly get a positive result in this game.
Fighting with all their means
The standings are currently not picturing Hacken’s game all too well. The biggest reason why they’re only at the 13th spot after 8 rounds I nthe league is that they had very tough first four visits. Firstly, they lost to Brommapojkarna (0:2), who promoted to this league along with them, through playoffs. Then they lost against one of the biggest title candidates, Goeteborg by 4:1. However, that didn’t mean much and they pushed themselves too hard again so they suffered yet another defeat away against GAIS (0:3). They continued playing in a good tempo at home, beating Trelleborg by 1:0, just to have another tough visit in Kalmar losing by 2:1. Next round was another winless game for them as the hosting Hacken played very good but at the end split points with Halmstad. In the last round another tough visit followed, fourth in a row, where they again got defeated to AIK by 2:0, a team that is also known to be one of the title candidates this season. As far as their cup performances are concerned, they recorded two pretty high-scoring wins against Assyriska (4:2) and Sundsvall (5:3). Just like the last season, Hacken aren’t playing bad football away from home but their luck with the rivals at the start of the season has been horrible, and I’m almost convinced they have a great opportunity to finally win points in one road game in the league.
The guests are the better side
Orgryte are playing pretty bad and I’m positive they will have a very hard time in this match, and that a win for them is pretty far. The guests are much closer to winning all three points, but will have to put a lot of effort in order to take then. What’s sure for me is that there will be goals here. The hosts have to finally win and they will be seeking for that exactly in front of their fans, while the guests are finally having one easier road game, where they expect to grab all three points. Both sides will approach this match offensively, and will play to outscore each other and I’m very certain the goals will come. In this type of matches, and generally in the mutual clashes of these two teams, there are always goals scored so I expect it to be the same in this clash. I think I’ve stated enough reasons and facts to justify my over 2.5 bet adding that the odds are fantastic and have to be used well. Also, for the braver ones I suggest a straight away win as Hacken are a lot closer to the win than the hosts. But then again, I advise the over 2.5 as the safest solution here.
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals, Odds 2.2;

Sunday, May 17, 2009

Numancia - Recreativo Huelva Spain - Primera Prediction

Numancia - Recreativo Huelva
17.05 21:00
“Others have underestimated us too early”, Numancia’s players and the board have stated. Two weeks ago, they recorded a very important win against Malaga by 2:0 at home. Then they played very good defensive game against Valladolid away from home, and that’s exactly why they ended with a scoreless draw which was pretty satisfying for them. Now they want to attack Huelva, a team that is just one place ahead of them in the standings, and beat them in front of the home fans. By winning this game, they would significantly increase their chances for surviving in the league and escape from the bottom of the table. Numancia’s coach, Miguel Lasa, expects another good performance by his team. He believes that a win against Malaga boosted their morale and gave them the strength for the upcoming matches, so now they can seriously think about avoiding relegation. Lasa doesn’t have too many problems with the missing players. Due to suspension, only Juanra will miss this match, so Lasa will field pretty-much the strongest lineup: Juan Pablo - Gurendez, Cisma, Jaio, Gonzalez - Del Pino, Barkero, Palacios, Moreno - Goiria, Aranda.
Weakened
Huelva are facing big problems before this visit and I’m almost convinced this team will not able to save themselves from relegating from Primera. A win from two rounds ago against Osasuna away from home brought them a glimpse of hope, cause in their next match, more precisely in the last round they got defeated at home by the visiting Deportivo by 2:1. Beside the fact they’re confronting a very motivated Numancia side and are in a very bad from, their coach Lucas Alcaraz won’t have a lot of regulars at his disposition. Zahinos, Beto, Akale, Camunas, Morris and Maidana will all be out due to injuries, while Arzo Amposta will also miss this match cause of the accumulated yellow cards. Therefore, coach Alcaraz will have to field a mixed squad: Riesgo - Nef, Casado, Bouzon, Lamas - Sisi, Tornavaca, Vazquez, Barber - Guerrero, Adrian.
The home pitch will prevail
Since Huelva are in a very bad series of results, and knowing they will be missing a lot of regulars for this match, an extremely motivated home side is a huge favorite to win this game. After two games where they won as many as four points, the hope for surviving in the league still exists, the team is really inspired and I’m convinced that they shouldn’t gamble with this great opportunity that can completely get them back in life in front of their fans.
Tip: Numancia, Odds 2.4;

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Newcastle - Fulham England - Premier Prediction

Newcastle - Fulham
16.05 16:00
The Premier League season is coming to its end and the battle for survival is still full of many twists as Newcastle finally managed to record their first win under Alan Shearer against Middlesbrough. A win couldn’t come at a better moment as the Magpies managed to get out of the relegation zone thanks to a better goal difference than Hull. Shearer will surely get praised a lot since two players he subbed in during the 2nd half, Obafemi Martins and Peter Lovenkrands scored vital goals. A win over their big relegation rivals was the first for Newcastle in the previous 18 rounds. Hull will play Manchester United in the last round, so a potential win over Fulham would practically secure their Premier league status. Shearer has no new injury concerns so it’s expected that the match is started by the same 11 players who played against Middlesbrough. Obafemi Martins is still having groin problems, but is likely to start the game off the bench. Alan Smith can also be on the bench, but Jose Enrique definitely won’t play due to a knee injury while Joey Barton is still suspended due to a red card he got against Liverpool.
They want the 7th spot
Fulham are one of the pleasant surprises this season since they were in the relegation zone one round before the end of the last season. A year later, they’re at the 7th spot in the Premiership and at the place that will give them a Europa League spot next year which is fantastic achievement for the team from Craven Cottage. That, however, shouldn’t be that shocking. Fulham got a very experienced manager in Roy Hodgson, who coach the best European teams including Inter Milan. Hodgson used his knowledge and contacts in order to get as good players as possible to Craven Cottage, and out of all of them Brede Hangeland was surely the biggest hit this season. This season still isn’t over for Hodgson and Fulham as they can’t relax since the potential loss to Newcastle would allow one of their followers in the standings (Tottenham, West Ham or Manchester City) to take over that 7th spot which Fulham deserved in this very successful season for them. Simon Davies will be out due to ankle injury. Diomansy Kamara has returned to the squad and scored two goals against Aston Villa and it’s possible he will start the match instead of Bobby Zamora. Andrew Johnson could also return from a knee injury, as well as Erik Nevland.
No lack of motivation
Fulham have had a lot of problems in their away games for the most part of this season, but towards the end they started to record wins away from their Cottage, and the most impressive performance was against Manchester City. After the first win since Shearer took over, he will have a very confident team that will have an ideal opportunity to get one of the places that will guarantee them playing in one of the best leagues in the world next year as well. Both sides will have lots of motives entering this match so we can expect a good and very competitive game with lots of goals, especially because Fulham have recently improved their scoring efficiency lately. Low-medium stakes.
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals, Odds 2.1;

Werder - Karlsruhe Germany - 1. Bundesliga Prediction

Werder - Karlsruhe
16.05 15:30
Werder have resolved all their dilemmas related to this season in Bundesliga long time ago. Catastrophic performances in the first part of the season cost them a European competitions spot. However, they have found and used their chances in the cups. They’re ahead of the two finals and it’s necessary they focus completely on those games exactly. The toughest part awaits them next Wednesday in the UEFA Cup finals against Shakhtar in Istanbul, and a bit later they will be played Leverkusen in the DFB Cup finals. These two matches will determine their whole season and it’s possible that they will have one of the most successful seasons in their history, regardless of a horrible record in Bundesliga. They raised their form lately and they won the last three competitive matches. Coach Schaaf has plenty of doubts about composing the squad for the match against Karlsruhe as he shouldn’t risk the injuries of his important players, and on the other hand he doesn’t want to separate them from playing competitive football for a 10-days period. Their best player Diego has recovered from the injury and will probably play as he is suspended for the UEFA Cup finals. Pizzaro is still under weather and nothing will be risked with him surely. Naldo and Mertesacker have both recovered, but it’s questionable whether they will play in this game or not. Hunt is still sidelined and his status for this game won’t even be considered. It will be interesting to see what formation Werder will use, as this match really doesn’t mean anything to them. However, it’s easily possible they repeat the performance from Frankfurt and fill Karlsruhe’s net in one relaxed mood. Schaaf didn’t want to name the team, but according to my info it should look like the following: Wiese - C. Fritz, Prödl, Baumann, Boenisch - Niemeyer, Frings - Diego, Özil - Rosenberg, Hugo Almeida.
Farewell
Although they still haven’t relegated in theory, only a miracle could save the Karlsruhe team. Even if they record both wins in the last two rounds, even that won’t guarantee them the survival. In that case they would have to hope for bad results of their direct relegation rivals in order to keep the Bundesliga status. The reality is certainly different, and it’s very likely that Karlsruhe will be playing in Zweite next season. They lost their games in the last two rounds and basically sentenced themselves to relegation. In the Karlsruhe squad, the situation isn’t seen as tragic, and everyone there is hoping they will quickly return to Bundesliga. The board already extended contracts with a few players in order to keep them in case of relegation. Coach Becker says that the situation is tough, but he and his players won’t be giving up until the last referee’s whistle. Becker announced an offensive formation for the match against Werder as Karlsruhe will still have chances only if they get all three points. So, the guests will use very risky tactics and we’re yet to see how it will reflect the final result. The following squad has been announced: M. Miller - A. Görlitz, S. Langkamp, Franz, Eichner - Aduobe - Stindl, Engelhardt - Freis, Iashvili, Kennedy.
The goals will be pouring
Both teams will play totally open in this match. Of course, they will do that due to very different reasons. Werder will try to additionally warm up all their team lines with a relaxed play and some new tactical formations, while Karlsruhe will attack as only three points from this match bring them some kind of hope. The consequence of such approaches have to be numerous goal-scoring chances and high amount of goals. The odds on over 2.5 don’t satisfy me and that’s why I suggest a bit riskier bet on the over 3.5.
Tip: Over 3.5 Goals, Odds 2.4; Both Team to Score, Odds 1.8;

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Hansa - Augsburg Germany - 2. Bundesliga Prediction

Hansa - Augsburg
12.05 17:30
It can be freely said that this season is ending a lot better than it seemed for everybody who love Hansa. There were many problems, not only financial but also with their staff, and it seemed like Rostock was hardly gonna avoid the relegation to a lower division. Three coaches have been changed, but the arrival of the last one – Andreas Zachhuber brought such needed changes in the play of this ex-Eastern German team. In the last eight rounds, Hansa have been undefeated and recorded four wins and draws each. That “bailed them out” of the most endangered teams group, and three rounds before the end they have an opportunity of getting the job they started finally done. A win would get them into a situation where they can calmly play their final 2 matches, and since they’re facing already relegated Wehen in the last round, there shouldn’t be any problems. They could’ve already resolved it all in the last round, but allowed 1860 Munich to equalize the score against them in the last minute and shorten them by 2 points they could’ve gotten. They’re entering the match against Augsburg as favs, and coach Zachhuber is looking at his team’s chances in this match with lots of optimism. There are no injury concerns, only long-term injuries Rathgeb, Morais and Wachter are still out. However, all other players are fit and a big incentive for Hansa is the return of striker Kern and midfielder Gledson. The situation with other striker Dorn is a lot better, so he will also be a candidate to start this match. The squad should look like the following: Hahnel - Schöneberg, Bülow, Orestes, Oczipka - Svärd - Schindler, Gledson - Retov - Kern, Bartels.
No need to be nervous
Augsburg are in a similar situation as Hansa. Although there is still a danger of being relegated, it’s very small, and there is every chance they will save their Zweite status. Augsburg had a very variable season; they went from pitfall to the stars and back. In the first 7 games of the season, they recorded six losses, and then they won 7 times and drew three in the following 10. In 2009. they got back to the same routine, and were winless in the first three and a half months of this year. But, when they needed it the most, they won the last two matches at home and got their ship near the port of salvation. In the next round they’ll be hosting relegated Wehen and a potential three points from that match would ensure their status. They’re entering this game without many imperatives, as the points from this game aren’t too necessary for them. Augsburg also changed their coach, and their new head coach Dutchman Jos Luhukay isn’t hiding the fact that the only task he agreed to complete was avoiding relegation. He stated it would be nice if they did that job in Rostock already, but even if that doesn’t happen it won’t represent a tragedy. Their match of the season will take place next weekend, at home against Wehen. Luhukay won’t be able to count on injured Torghelle, Kern, Kuntzel and Benschneider for this game. The following lineup will start the game: Neuhaus - Hegeler, Möhrle, Kläsener, L. Müller - Mölzl - Baier, Hdiouad, Werner - Thurk, Szabics.
Hansa are more motivated
The hosts are big favorites in this match. Not only they’re in excellent shape, but also have an opportunity to get near salvation in the league with a win in their DKB Arena. The guests, on the other hand, don’t have many reasons to try too hard as the points from this match aren’t necessary. They will resolve all their problems next weekend. So, I suggest a bet on the home win as I don’t believe that the team that improved so much over the past two months could fail, and complicate their lives out of nothing.
Tip: Hansa, Odds 1.8;

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Groningen - NAC Breda Netherlands - Eredivisie Prediction

Groningen - NAC Breda
10.05 14:30
Groningen are currently 6th on the table and have as many as 8 points more than both 7th and 8th placed teams, and 7 points less than 5th placed Heerenveen. Groningen are an excellent side but they’re unfortunately rarely showing that in the spring part of the season, although they were in the race for one of the top three spots at one point, now they’re only trying to secure the Europa League for the next season. I think they will remain in the middle of the table as there is just a big difference between two sides of the table. As you all probably know, Groningen are a team with a lot of foreign players, they’ve got 14 of them compared to 7 domestic ones in their squad. One of their best players is the Swede and their best scorer Marcus Berg, who signed his name onto the scoring sheet 17 times this season, and is at the third place in the strikers list in Eredivisie. IMO, Groningen are the clear favs here, and I’m positive they will continue their successful streak from the past three matches.
Running nowhere
Breda are at the 8th position with 45 points won, as much as Feyenoord but due to better goal difference they’re in front. NAC are currently in a pretty bad shape having 7 defeats, and only three wins in the last 10 matches. The Yellows are mostly composed out of Dutch players, but also have 10 internationals. This club, despite being found back in 1912. don’t have much of a history, and one of their biggest successes is the third spot in the league won last season, not counting the title won in 1921. Coach Robert Maaskant is trying to help his squad enter the qualies for the Europa League if nothing and I think they aren’t good enough to defeat Groningen, as they especially don’t play too well away from home.
Big rivals at the moment
Groningen are currently the better side, even though both teams are pretty similar in terms of quality. It seems to me that Breda aren’t in a very good form and are not showing much cohesion in the previous 10 rounds, while Groningen are still better and more secure in their games, despite them also not being even close to the level from the first part of this season. My advice for this is a clear win of the hosts in front of their Green Angels.
Tip: Groningen, Odds 2.2;

Siena - Palermo Italy - Serie A Prediction

Siena - Palermo
10.05 15:00
By beating Napoli in the last round, Siena have secured the survival. It is a logical conclusion of a season in which Sennesi were expected to have a lot of problems. Still, as we have already mentioned on these pages that, even despite the departure of several players, hiring young coach Giampaolo was an excellent move. Black-Whites were excellent at home where they don’t concede a lot of goals. This team has given its best and everyone agrees with that. Now, when they reached the tally of 40 points, they can finally relax. Still ne have to mention that this will be a important game for Palermo. The Sicilians gave Cagliari a real lesson and they have once again confirmed this is their season and don’t get surprised if they end the season at the sixth place. They are also excellent at home and the euphoric Zamparini announced that this team will set a high aim next year – Champions League. It thye keep all the players together and bring a couple of new, it will not be impossible.
Siena will have to sell again
That is how small clubs survive, a cruel reality. Chairman De Luca doesn’t have a choice, he will have to give up on the excellent Columbian Zuniga, maybe even Portanova who is on West Ham’s wishlist. So far, Giampaolo is reportedly staying in, but there are some information saying that one of the major outfits, Milan, Juventus, Roma or Lazio would like to welcome him. This summer will be a stage of many bench changes across Italy. Young expert has established himself working at the minnows and always managing to save them and get them out of the gutter until he came to Siena. For this game, Siena will have almost full squad available, Maccarone and keeper Curci are coming back in. They will play without any pressure and even if they lose it will mean nothing to them. Since Torino and Bologna have to compete for the remaining safe spot, Sennesi will survive no matter what happens. The tally of 40 points is the one that guarantees survival with any possible scenario.
Palermo in the rapture
New team with eighth players that were brought to become regular players is sitting on the seventh place and, had they been more gelled up, they could’ve done better. Still, after the opening round, Ballardini arrived to replace Colantuon and didn’t go through the prep period with the squad. this year marked the definite confirmation that the young expert is slowly becoming one of the leading managers of the new generation. It is not easy to work in Palermo, most of all because Zamparini, and we have to give a huge credit to Ballardini. The demonstration of force on the poor Cagliari proves that this team possesses a huge potential. They have been playing weaker with minnows away, mostly because of the inexperience and the lack of courage, but they managed to make it all up at Barbera. They are a point behind Roma and it wouldn’t be strange if they booked the ticket to Europe. Apart from Carozzieri who is suspended for using drugs, unfit Bresciano is also missing. Interestingly enough, ever since they reached the elite company, Palermo have never lost at Franchi.
Betting verdict
Try small stake on Plaermo. They are on the uptrend and have a lot of confidence which will be enough to beat the absent-minded Siena. Triumph over Napoli has resolved it all and they only need to sit and wait for the well-deserved rest. First part of the season brought a defeat at Barbera. Giampaolo will field his best squat, but they will lack motivation and we believe that Palermo are closer to winning the game.
Tip: Palermo, Odds 2.5;

Catania - Fiorentina Italy - Serie A Prediction

Catania - Fiorentina
10.05 15:00
Catania sit 15th in the standings and, with 34 games played and 11 points separating them from the relegation zone, are all but assured of survival this season.The Sicilian after defeated 2-0 by Milan last weekend,now in these final four league games will play maybe not relax but not on the 100% of one`s possibilities.The Rossazzurri will take on Fiorentina in a difficult game as the Viola continue their chase for a Champions League spot.Morimoto is suspended for this game, also Ledesma, Potenza they won`t play here.So Zenga use 4-4-2 formation,Kosicky which once again he will play from the beginning with Milan may have conceded twice, but it was thanks to for him that this scoreline wasn`t more severe. Made at least four smart stops. Silvestri in defence which lost Inzaghi for the opening goal and was repeatedly opened up down the left, mostly by Kaka this is not good option in Catania for Vargas and Gilardino also.Silvestre another not good defender he was coming or going against Inzaghi`s lightning movement.Stovini and Capuano these are also unsure competitors so I think that and in this match will have considerable problems with Gilardino-Vargas.Sciacca and Tedesco they will play too Izco and Carboni in midfield.And he can without the revelation but it is a good move.Mascara and Martinez it is an only possible threat in the Catania team. Martinez which Catania`s best player week ago,he embarked on a few slalom runs, and threatened early on.Zenga he still has the option around Spinesi but I think he won`t use it.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina after the win against Torino week ago which it was very important win as it gave us continuity in our results.Every match from now until the end of the championship will be important.The Viola have regained their rhythm and a Champions League place is on the horizon.The Peruvian Juan Vargas has hit a rich vein of form for Fiorentina over the past few weeks and this was exemplified week ago, as the left-sided player scored the only goal of the game to defeat Torino.Prandelli use Vargas on the new position on the pitch behind Gilardino in up front and this is a great for this player.The former Catania star now has three goals this season and the Viola remain in fourth place after their 1-0 victory over Torino.Fiorentina are on 61 points, one point above fifth-placed Genoa with only four matches left before the end of the season.A few days ago Fiorentina coach Cesare Prandelli has spoken about his future in Tuscany, emphasising that he will be staying at the Artemio Franchi.This is a great news for all Viola players and fans of course.Viola he will play without Santana, Mutu, Bonzazzoli and the ex-Chievo man Franco Semioli which limped off after just 20 minutes of Fiorentina’s home win over Torino.Prandelli he won`t change placing his team, defence line-up he will be the same,Comotto,Dainelli,Gamberini,Pasqual.Only Dainelli he had a few unsuccessful intervention from Torino but generally he appeared from the good side, rest without accusations.Behind recalled Semioli he will play Felipe Melo which is coming back after the suspension to the game. Montolivo,Kuzmanovic and Jovetic is a good midfield line-up option in Viola. They are creating much situation very much for the pair of Gilardino-Vargas strikers.
Away win
Fiorentina to be a hard-fought battle coming away with maximum points.However, the passionate Sicilian crowd could spur their side onto greatness. But I think more motivated side will be Viola here and take maximum points here.
Tip: Fiorentina, Odds 1.85;

Saturday, May 9, 2009

Blackburn - Portsmouth England - Premier Prediction

Blackburn - Portsmouth
09.05 16:00
Blackburn remained in the safe zone in spite of the defeat to Manchester City but they need to win few more points in order to allay all the relegation fears. Portsmouth suffered a heavy defeat to Arsenal but they, too, have done enough to ensure survival.
Rovers will stay alive
This has been a very turbulent season for Blackburn and one of the most difficult ones in recent years. The team largely struggled under Paul Ince and when things got tricky, the club management decided to sack the first black manager in the Premier League and experienced Sam Allardyce was brought to replace him. This change had a positive effect on the players as they immediately ended the poor run of results, but they couldn’t continue the good run and were quickly back in the dangerous zone. We have to be honest and say that Rovers had plenty of problems with injured players, mostly in midfield and that is another reason for poor performances. When the midfield players started returning from injuries, then the attackers moved to the injury list and Big Sam was forced to even use defenders like Samba as makeshift strikers. Judging by all the problems just ensuring survival would be a success for Rovers and they are very close to making this happen. With three games to go they are six points clear of safety and they should have no problems staying up. The hosts will be relaxed in this match and they will probably attack Portsmouth and thus record a win that would mathematically ensure them survival. McCarthy, Roberts and Santa Cruz will miss this game as well.
Pompey are eagerly waiting for the season to end
Just like their next opponents, Portsmouth experienced big problems this term, both on and off the pitch. The momentum gained by the good start of the league campaign came to an end when Harry Redknapp decided to leave for Tottenham and that is when all the problems started. Club management didn’t make next manager Tony Adams’ job any easier by selling two best players, Defoe and Diarra, thus no wonder that the results remained very disappointing. Tony Adams was soon sacked, definitely not by his fault, and Paul Hart was given the job of guiding the team into safety. Pompey did struggle a bit but they finally came good in the closing stages to the season and it seems they have done enough to ensure survival. Hart’s men were hammered by Arsenal last weekend and they will try to make amends by winning this game. Portsmouth certainly have enough quality to score at Ewood Park, especially as Peter Crouch is playing really well lately, but their back line is far from impressive of late and they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet even against Blackburn. Hart will not be able to count on Pamarot through suspension, while Traore, Johnson, Kranjcar, Diop, Gekas and Kaboul are out with injuries.
Tip: Blackburn, Odds 2.1;

Dortmund - Karlsruher Germany - 1. Bundesliga Prediction

Dortmund - Karlsruher
09.05 15:30
After eight winless game in 2009, Dortmund won six games in the last month and a half and now they are in contention for one of the European positions. Karlsruher missed a fine opportunity to move ahead from the bottom, as they drew goalless with Cottbus after winning Leverkusen away.
Aside from Wolfsburg, Dortmund are another team yet unbeaten at home
Great number of draws was the main characteristics of the millionaires in the first part of the season and till mid-spring, only to level the margin between wins and draws with a six-game winning run. Last weekend the millionaires were dominant against Frankfurt during the whole match and only in last ten minutes scored two goals.
Coach Klopp has no reasons to change anything in the winning team, so he will field the same eleven players again. Captain Kehl missed the last training because of a minor injury, but he will probably be fit to play in this match. Interestingly, Dortmund drew last three games they hosted Karlsruher. Hummels and Gordon are the only ones injured.
Karlsruher won’t give up till the last minute
Even though they are nailed to the bottom, Karlsruher won’t be an easy prey to anyone and they still have the chance to survive even though only few rounds ago they seemed already relegated. Last weekend Karlsruher failed to materialize several fantastic chances in the match against direct rivals Cottbus, so they ended with one point.
Coach Becker can’t count on Da Silva, who is suspended, so Iashvili will play in the midfield instead. Mutzel is uncertain as a holding midfielder, as he has muscle injury, while Engelhardt will most likely replace him. Karlsruher have nothing to lose, so they will start aggressively towards millionaires; net with two strikers Freis and Kennedy, and former Dortmiund player Frederico as a second striker. Carnell, Porcello and Kornetzky are injured.
Betting verdict
In the first part of the season Dortmund recorded a minimum win over Karlsruher while they have an impressive record at home against these rivals, 15:2 Millionaires improved their form a lot, but the visitors too play better lately, though it certainly won’t be enough to get anything from this match.
Tip: Under 2.5 Goals, Odds 2.1;

Hull - Stoke England - Premier Prediction

Hull - Stoke
09.05 16:00
From the potential biggest surprise in Premier, Hull City became a serious contender for relegation. Four defeats in a row, just one point from last six games and a single win from last 19 games! They hold 17th position with three points more than dangerous zone. At Villa Park they displayed a very good performance, but lost 1-0 at the end. Team morale is on very low level, team mates Geovanni and Cousin even made an arguing during the half-time. It seems this is the last chance. In the rest two rounds, Hull will face Bolton on the road and host Man.Utd.. Caleb Folan is suspended, while Bullard, Ashbee and Gardner are injured.
Relaxed Potters
Stoke practically secured their Premier League status. Eight points above the line, three rounds left. Very good performances at Britannia Stadium made them without a pressure at the season finish. On the road, they have just one win (and four draws) from 17 games. Two 0-1 defeats in a row, Fulham away and in the last round West Ham United at home. Today have a chance to finish the job and theoretically avoid relegation. Tony Pulis can not count on injured defenders Amdy Faye and Danny Higginbotham, while Danny Pugh returns in the squad.
Tough fight is expected
Hull City has no other way, than to attack from the first whistle. Surely, nobody wants to leave decision for the last round and Man.Utd.. Visitors like a tough game, that’s their way to compensate lack of quality during the whole season. I expect an open game from the start. And goals.
Tip: Hull, Odds 2.1; Over 2.5 Goals, Odds 2.1;

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Hamburger - Werder UEFA - UEFA Cup Prediction

Hamburger - Werder
07.05 20:45
Hamburg have been recording some extraordinary results in German Bundesliga, as well as in the European competitions, UEFA Cup more precisely. They surprised Werder in the first semifinal leg in Bremen recording a narrow 1:0 win giving themselves a solid advantage before the rematch at their Nordbank arena. Martin Jol believes his team can repeat such a good performance again and use their goal-scoring chances in the best way possible. Defending their own goal and keeping the result will almost surely not be the playing style of the hosts in this game. Hamburg aren’t a team that can play defensive, they have great forwards, playing a lot of counterattacks which will be their main weapon in this match as well. Jol won’t have many problems with composing his team’s lineup, and striker Guerrero will be the only player who will miss this game due to suspension. If there won’t be any bigger changes, Hamburg should field the following eleven players: Rost, Boateng, Jansen, Gravgaard, Mathijsen, Alex, Aogo, Trochowski, Jarolim, Olić i Petrić.
Bad away
Werder have suffered a defeat in another road game yet again, where Koeln defeated them by 1:0. Bad position in the standings is exactly the reason why the Bremen side is listed as one of the worst visiting teams this season in Bundesliga with only one win. In the first UEFA Cup semis, Werder performed very poorly in front of their fans, losing to Hamburg deservedly. Coach Thomas Schaaf believes his club can still snatch the finals and that the 1:0 scoreline is totally reachable. He isn’t afraid of their bad away games as he believes they will do much better in UEFA Cup and will have a different approach to the game. Werder’s win is an imperative since that’s the only way they can reach finals, which is their main goal this season. Schaaf doesn’t have any injury or other squad concerns, so the strongest lineup should be fielded in this game: Wiese, Fritz, Bonisch, Mertesacker, Naldo, Baumann, Frings, Ozil, Diego, Rosenberg i Pizzaro.
Over 2.5 is most realistic
In the clash between two German clubs in Europe, everything is possible, which Hamburg demonstrated last week in Bremen beating the hosting Werder pretty comfortably. Now the situation will be completely the same and any “unexpected” outcomes are possible. We can’t say that Hamburg have secured the finals yet as there are whole 90 minutes to be played before the winner when it will be decided who is currently the better side that deserves to qualify for the finals and a clash with one of the Ukrainian representatives. Both teams will be forcing their offensive playing styles. Werder have no other option but to open up completely while Hamburg will be seeking their chances from very quick counterattacks. Both players will field their strongest lineups, so I expect them to play great, and primarily to score a few goals each. Medium-high stakes.
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals, Odds 1.8;

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Chelsea - Barcelona UEFA - Champions League Prediction

Chelsea - Barcelona
06.05 20:45
Chelsea held Barcelona to the goalless draw at Camp Nou but the Blues face another difficult job against the high-flying Catalans. Barcelona enter the match on the back of the impressive 6:2 win over Real Madrid and they are still favourites to go through.
The job is half done
Ever since Roman Abramovich took over the reigns at Chelsea, the team managed to cope with the strongest teams in England but they struggled to match the best clubs in Europe and are still chasing for the first Champions League title. The Blues were very close to the highly anticipated trophy last season but Terry slipped up when taking the decisive penalty, which resulted in United winning the title. The Blues were not given big chances this season but they have shown significant improvement under Guus Hiddink and the first match at Camp Nou showed this. Chelsea managed to hold the Catalans to a goalless draw, which was a big success but they will have to produce another remarkable performance in order to qualify for the final. Chelsea have been doing well lately but we don’t think that they can stop Barca for the second time in seven days. They are likely to lose the midfield battle to Xavi, Iniesta and Toure, and the back line together with Cech would have to be at their very best in order to stop Barca from scoring. Hiddink faces some selection problems, as Deco and Carvalho are out with injuries, whereas Alex remains a big injury doubt. The hosts are likely to adopt attacking approach, which will probably make Barca’s job even easier as the Catalans are ruthless when afforded space.
Barcelona hammered Real
Barcelona have ensured another Primera title having beaten Real Madrid 6:2 at Santiago Bernabeu and they can now fully focus on the Champions League, where they are considered hot favourites for the trophy. Sep Guardiola’s team missed a chance to create an advantage before the return leg as they failed to unlock Chelsea defence in the first match but they remain the favourites to go through as the team have been in remarkable form throughout the season. The comprehensive win over their fierce rivals showed that the game against Chelsea had been just a bad day and we expect them to play much better at Stamford Bridge. It seems that Theirry Henry will be able to shake off minor injury and he is likely to form a three-man attack together with Messi and Eto’o, whereas Guardiola will not make any changes in the middle of the park. The boss faces some problems in defence as captain Puyol is suspended, while Marquez is out with injury, thus Caceres could partner Pique in the heart of defence. Abidal is also another option for the centre-back position, in which case Silvinho would start at left-back. Anyhow, Barcelona have to be considered favourites here even though the game will be played in London.
Betting verdict
Chelsea have got a good result from the first leg but they will have problems stopping Barcelona from scoring, especially without Carvalho and possibly Alex. Barca will definitely play much better than in the first leg and we expect them to win this game.
Tip: Barcelona, Odds 2.6;

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Arsenal - Manchester UTD UEFA - Champions League Prediction

Arsenal - Manchester UTD
05.05 20:45
Arsenal may trail Manchester United 1-0 after last week's first leg at Old Trafford, but in the second leg at The Emirates Stadium, Arsenal should have enough to overturn the first leg deficit and qualify for the Champions league final in Rome on 27th May.
Arsenal have been in tremendous form of late with just three defeats in 30 matches in all competitions. While Man Utd have won just one of their last 10 visits to Arsenal and The Gunners have a remarkable record at home in the Champions League, 24 matches unbeaten. For Arsenal to make it 25 matches unbeaten at home you can get 8/25 about Arsenal or draw.
The odds of 13/10 about a second-leg win for Arsenal looks good value. And the qualification odds of 5/2 for Arsenal to reach the final are even better. If you think Man Utd can come away from The Emirates with at least draw then you can get 2/7 about Sir Alex Ferguson's side qualifying for the final. A Man Utd second-leg win is priced at 7/4 with the draw at 21/10.
However, if you think Man Utd can go all the way and win the Champions League for a second year in a row, now is the time to back them in the outright market at 13/8. Although no team has ever won the competition in consecutive seasons.
Arsenal's defensive record in the Champions League at home is also very impressive as they have not conceded a goal in 514 minutes. Manuel Almunia is 7/4 to keep a clean sheet on Tuesday to extend this run.
Arsene Wenger has had his side playing some of their best fluent football in recent weeks, but Arsenal will have to do without inspirational Russian Andrei Arshavin as he is cup-tied. Arshavin will be a big miss but with Theo Walcott (10/1 to score first, 7/2 anytime), captain Cesc Fabregas (10/1 to score first, 7/2 anytime) and Samir Nasri (12/1 to score first, 5/1 anytime) all likely to be in support of Emmanuel Adebayor (6/1 favourite to score first, 11/4 anytime) then Arsenal will have enough firepower and creativity to fire themselves to the final.
French midfielder Nasri could be the pick at the odds. He scored twice against Man Utd earlier on in the season in the league game at The Emirates and is a huge 33/1 to repeat his two-goal antics.
Wenger will be boosted by the return of the fit-again Dutchman Robin van Persie who could potentially play a key role in coming off the bench to take advantage of Man Utd's tired legs. As could Danish international Nicklas Bendtner who netted a brace away at Portsmouth on Saturday.
On the other hand Man Utd will be delighted that Rio Ferdinand looks like winning his fitness race for the second leg. In the first leg Fergie sprang a surprise by starting with Carlos Tevez ahead of Dimitar Berbatov and the fact that the Bulgarian started at The Riverside against Middlesbrough on Saturday in a much-changed line-up suggests that Tevez will get the nod once again.
The Argentine is 2/1 to score at The Emirates with his fellow attackers Cristiano Ronaldo and Wayne Rooney priced at 7/4 and 2/1 respectively.
Prediction: The match promises to be a cracker with a place at stake in the showpiece Champions League final.
Arsene Wenger is still gunning for his first Champions League success while if Man Utd and Sir Alex Ferguson win it again this year then Fergie could well contemplate retirement and bow out of Old Trafford on a high, being the first team to ever win it in consecutive seasons.
I have a feeling however that Arsenal are just playing that little bit better at the moment and odds of 3/1 to qualify that looks far too big.
Tip: Arsenal, Odds 2.6; Over 2.5 Goals, Odds 2.1;

Sunday, May 3, 2009

Charlton - Norwich England - Championship Prediction

Charlton - Norwich
03.05 14:15
There are certain benefits to be gained from finishing bottom of the league and it's something that Charlton can demonstrate by beating Norwich in their final game of the season at the Valley on Sunday.
Fans of the beleaguered Addicks might not have enjoyed the sight of their team propping up the rest of the Championship since Boxing Day but their lost cause has at least allowed manager Phil Parkinson to build for a brighter future unopposed by any immediate ambitions.
So the rebuilding process at Floyd Road is already under way and recent results suggest that Charlton will enjoy a head-start on their rivals from Norfolk when the two teams face up to the depressing reality of life in League One next season.
The Londoners have tasted defeat only once in their last seven matches, despite facing teams with promotion or survival aspirations in all but one of those encounters, evidence that points towards a team determined to finish the campaign on a positive note.
Indeed, it's clear from recent interviews with the players that they feel a collective sense of debt towards their supporters, so the last thing they will want to subject them to right now is the sight of another team celebrating survival on their turf.
Norwich will no doubt start the day in determined mood as they seek to pull off the unthinkable and escape relegation with the help of matters elsewhere but it shouldn't take much more than a goal against or a few radio reports to take the wind out of the their sails.
A sequence of four defeats in the last five matches would suggest the Canaries were never really up for the fight in the first place, so there's no real justification for the odds-on quotes across the board on the away win.
Tip: Home/Draw, Odds 3.6/3.4; Over 2.5 Goals, Odds 1.8;

Vitesse - Heracles Netherlands - Eredivisie Prediction

Vitesse - Heracles
03.05 14:30
Vitesse did some excellent business last week by beating Utrecht with really big numbers: 6-1.
With their victory Vitesse took their last chance on playoff-qualification, although the safe 8th place probably is too far away for them. As Utrecht, NEC and both lost their match Vitesse took a jump towards them on the table, and with three wins in a row we should definitely say Vitesse is hitting form again.
Against Utrecht Vitesse didn’t play that great in the first half, but in the second half they were really swinging all over the pitch with great combination football. It must be said that Utrecht was really horrible, but Vitesse took optimal advantage of that and once more underlined their growing form.
Heracles lost their home match against PSV last week, but again they didn’t make a poor impression.
They had the initiative almost the entire game, but especially in the first twenty minutes they failed to score from some excellent goalscoring opportunities. PSV was more successful at the other end of the pitch and scored from their first opportunity, and that caused an even more attacking Heracles.
Heracles fought like lions and a draw would’ve been fair in the end, but PSV played on routine and gave nothing away anymore. On the counter they decided the game, and made Heracles’ situation not any easier. Heracles still is on a safe position, but Volendam is only three points away from them.
Plenty to play for here, but Vitesse is skyhigh favourite if you ask me. They´re really playing good football, and against one of the worst travelling sides in Holland they should really take all three points here, and probably with a comfortable margin as well. Heracles should focus on their match at home against Utrecht next week. Homewin, good handicap and odds around 1.95 are more than ok.Vitesse has only Sprockel as important absentee, Heracles still misses Quansah.
Tip: Vitesse, Odds 1.8;

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Manchester City - Blackburn England - Premier Prediction

Manchester City - Blackburn
02.05 16:00
The City team showed great character the week ago and won against The Toffess 1-2 on their hot area.In this match City will play without Richards the crucial defender.Gelson Fernandes is standing by to replace the England defender.Shaun Wright-Phillips will almost certainly miss out.So Hughues in the defence he will play classical with four, on the right side for Richards will play Fernandes, in the middle Onuoha and Dunne , at the moment iron pair of stopwatches and once again will put on the left side on Wayne Bridge ex-Chelsea player.Mark Hughes was able to send out a side reinforced by the return of Nigel de Jong after the Dutchman passed a late fitness test on a thigh injury,so Nigel de Jong once again will play on the left flank.In the previous match he played very well, he played a lot of accurate and accurate passes to Robinho, after each of them so the Brazilian had the good shooting chance is a crucial form in the midfielders.Apart from it I think that once again he will put on Kompany and Elano and of irreplaceable Ireland.In the attack of course steam Robinho- Caicedo.Manchester City are one of a number of clubs involved in the race for seventh spot and a possible Europa League place.Blackburn also go into the game with a reasonably comfortable six-point cushion between themselves and the relegation zone.Mark Hughes sends out City against his former club, in search of three Premier League wins on the bounce for the first time this season. This is also a North-West derbies, and both these clubs are looking for successive victories.
Big Sam and Blackburn
Sam Allardyce has set his players a six-point survival target as they battle to stay in the Premier League. With just four games of the season remaining and Rovers currently lying in 15th position with 37 points, Big Sam believes two more wins could be enough to safeguard the club`s top-flight status.The week ago they won deserving against Wigan.They dominated over them in every respect and they achieved the very valuable victory.Sam Allardyce is emphasizing that on Eastlands any spot acquisition will be very precious.However the team is already practically calm for the relegation in the league so one`s purpose reached the City more than they need points here.Important fact also this is very imporant game for Mark Hughes because will play against his former club.In the defence Big Sam will put on checked Ooijer,captain Nelsen, Givet, Warnock.Week ago Ryan Nelsen scoring his first goal for Blackburn Rovers!In the midfielders could take another chance for very fast Diouf,they will be helping him Tugay, Grella, Pedersen who`s also score important goal week ago.On the upfront reliable due McCarthy, Samba.
Hughes knowing Blackburn
I think that the team here more determined will be City,must win it in order to count on European cups.Hughes is knowing these players very well and sure will find a remedy for them.Caicedo and Robinho is a great form now I think these players score another goal here.Defence line-up for Rovers is also not good so for me City will win here.
Tip: Manchester City, Odds 2.05;

Inter - Lazio Italy - Serie A Prediction

Inter - Lazio
02.05 20:30
It couldn’t happen, could it? Inter need a win to assuage fears of another late season collapse and welcome a Lazio side who tend to raise their game against the big guns.
The Nerazzurri’s lead at the top of the table was sliced from 10 points to seven last week when Milan notched up a fourth straight victory to take advantage of a surprise 1-0 loss at Napoli. For the second year running Marcelo Zalayeta bagged the only goal at the San Paolo, a stadium that has become something of a curse for Julio Cesar. Combined with the Coppa Italia exit to Sampdoria, it’s not looking too secure at San Siro.
Of course there is no need to panic yet, as that result ended a run of nine victories and four draws since the 3-1 at Atalanta on January 18. It was also the first time the leaders have failed to score in 23 consecutive Serie A matches.
However, the fans cannot forget their history of nervous finales when the title seemed secure, losing out on the last day in 2001 and avoiding a similar fate last season by only 30 minutes. Jose Mourinho is on the bench now, but the players and supporters remember that history all too well, so they expect a sign before the tension builds further.
Lazio have the good fortune of playing without pressure, as they are in the Coppa Italia Final and out of the running for the Europa Cup places in Serie A. That has proved to be a blessing and a curse in recent weeks, as they took their foot off the pedal for a home defeat to Atalanta and became only the second side – after Inter, in fact – to come away from Genoa with three points.
A prestigious fixture like this could bring the best out of Delio Rossi’s boys, especially Mauro Zarate in his aim to prove he’s worth the £16m asked to make his move from Al-Sadd permanent. With Goran Pandev and Simone Inzaghi still injured, Tommaso Rocchi is the inevitable partner with support from either Pasquale Foggia or Stefano Mauri. Christian Manfredini, Emilson Cribari, Mobido Diakhite and former Inter midfielder Ousmane Dabo are also sidelined.
Inter must do without Mario Balotelli and ex-Lazio star Dejan Stankovic due to bans, while Douglas Maicon, Nelson Rivas and Hernan Crespo are on the treatment table. Mourinho has been taking the opportunity to test out his 4-3-1-2 system, mutating into a 4-3-3 at times, but it has not been entirely successful so far.
They threw away a 2-0 lead to draw with Palermo, were held by 10-man Juventus in stoppages and lost at Napoli. Julio Cruz could get the chance to partner Zlatan Ibrahimovic with backing from Luis Figo, although Amantino Mancini and the pacey Victor Obinna are also options.
Lazio’s record was excellent, going unbeaten against Inter in official matches – home or away – for seven years. However, since the 1-0 Coppa Italia defeat here in February 2006, they have lost three at San Siro and drawn 0-0. This includes a spectacular 4-3 result in May 2007, where the Biancocelesti had been leading 2-0 after five minutes.
Keep an eye on: Zlatan Ibrahimovic (Inter) – The Swede is the most decisive player in Serie A, his goals earning 24 of Inter’s total 74 points, so if anyone can knock them out of their recent torpor it has to be Ibra.
Tip: Inter, Odds 1.6; Under 2.5 Goals, Odds 1.95;

Friday, May 1, 2009

Bochum - Hannover Germany - 1. Bundesliga Prediction

Bochum - Hannover
01.05 20:30
After losing to Dortmund at home, Bochum squandered a two-goal lead against Werder and reached second successive defeat. Hannover were better in the duel against Koln and that was 11th unbeaten match on their stadium.
Injury problems
Bochum showed two faces in the last match. Actually, Sestak’s first-half goals saw Bochum crown the domination but Koller’s men simply couldn’t be recognized in the second part of the game and conceded three goals in only fifteen minutes.
Besides losing all points in the last match, Bochum's main problem will be injuries of key players. Coach Koller can’t count on team’s best striker, Klimowicz, who will be out for at least three weeks. Also Sestak, who scored five goals in the last three games, earned a minor injury that will leave him out of the training but he will take some part in the game against Hannover. Besides these two strikers, Shinji Ono and Oliver Schroder are injured too but they are out for the season, while Christian Fuchs is nearing his recovery and he is expected to be back in the next two rounds. After two straight defeats Bochum are only three points away from the dangerous zone and they will have to try hard to earn some points in the match against Hannover, having in mind that they are up against top teams in the next two rounds.
Vital win for the Reds
Hannover picked up important points in the last round against Koln and they can relax now in the last five rounds. Thanks to double scorer Leon Andersen’s early goals the Reds have finally started planning the summer preparations that will like last year take place in the small village in southern Austria.
Coach Hecking opted for the formation with only one striker, which will most likely be Hanke, supported by Rosenthal and Krzynowek form the midfield. Hannover had one too many injuries this season, especially when it comes to defenders, but in spite of that the Reds have gathered strength to keep points at least on home ground which is why they deserve to stay in the league. Schlaudraff, Cherundolo, Fahrenhorst, Hofmann,Yankov, Ismael, Jensen, Tarnat and Vinicius are injured and won’t be able to help their side.

Betting verdict

In the first part of the season these rivals shared points (1:1). Over the last few years they have often crossed swords and the matches mostly ended in home win while both teams managed to win away only twice. After two straight losses Bochum desperately need points from this match and they will have to work hard but we think that they will make it.
Tip: Bochum, Odds 2.0