Saturday, May 16, 2009

Werder - Karlsruhe Germany - 1. Bundesliga Prediction

Werder - Karlsruhe
16.05 15:30
Werder have resolved all their dilemmas related to this season in Bundesliga long time ago. Catastrophic performances in the first part of the season cost them a European competitions spot. However, they have found and used their chances in the cups. They’re ahead of the two finals and it’s necessary they focus completely on those games exactly. The toughest part awaits them next Wednesday in the UEFA Cup finals against Shakhtar in Istanbul, and a bit later they will be played Leverkusen in the DFB Cup finals. These two matches will determine their whole season and it’s possible that they will have one of the most successful seasons in their history, regardless of a horrible record in Bundesliga. They raised their form lately and they won the last three competitive matches. Coach Schaaf has plenty of doubts about composing the squad for the match against Karlsruhe as he shouldn’t risk the injuries of his important players, and on the other hand he doesn’t want to separate them from playing competitive football for a 10-days period. Their best player Diego has recovered from the injury and will probably play as he is suspended for the UEFA Cup finals. Pizzaro is still under weather and nothing will be risked with him surely. Naldo and Mertesacker have both recovered, but it’s questionable whether they will play in this game or not. Hunt is still sidelined and his status for this game won’t even be considered. It will be interesting to see what formation Werder will use, as this match really doesn’t mean anything to them. However, it’s easily possible they repeat the performance from Frankfurt and fill Karlsruhe’s net in one relaxed mood. Schaaf didn’t want to name the team, but according to my info it should look like the following: Wiese - C. Fritz, Prödl, Baumann, Boenisch - Niemeyer, Frings - Diego, Özil - Rosenberg, Hugo Almeida.
Farewell
Although they still haven’t relegated in theory, only a miracle could save the Karlsruhe team. Even if they record both wins in the last two rounds, even that won’t guarantee them the survival. In that case they would have to hope for bad results of their direct relegation rivals in order to keep the Bundesliga status. The reality is certainly different, and it’s very likely that Karlsruhe will be playing in Zweite next season. They lost their games in the last two rounds and basically sentenced themselves to relegation. In the Karlsruhe squad, the situation isn’t seen as tragic, and everyone there is hoping they will quickly return to Bundesliga. The board already extended contracts with a few players in order to keep them in case of relegation. Coach Becker says that the situation is tough, but he and his players won’t be giving up until the last referee’s whistle. Becker announced an offensive formation for the match against Werder as Karlsruhe will still have chances only if they get all three points. So, the guests will use very risky tactics and we’re yet to see how it will reflect the final result. The following squad has been announced: M. Miller - A. Görlitz, S. Langkamp, Franz, Eichner - Aduobe - Stindl, Engelhardt - Freis, Iashvili, Kennedy.
The goals will be pouring
Both teams will play totally open in this match. Of course, they will do that due to very different reasons. Werder will try to additionally warm up all their team lines with a relaxed play and some new tactical formations, while Karlsruhe will attack as only three points from this match bring them some kind of hope. The consequence of such approaches have to be numerous goal-scoring chances and high amount of goals. The odds on over 2.5 don’t satisfy me and that’s why I suggest a bit riskier bet on the over 3.5.
Tip: Over 3.5 Goals, Odds 2.4; Both Team to Score, Odds 1.8;

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