Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Rimini-Livorno Italy - Serie B 08/09 Prediction

Rimini-Livorno
17.03 20:30
This is perhaps the most interesting match of 31st round in Serie B as Livorno that are slowly losing breath arrive at Neri. It will be a chance to Rimini fans to greet Leo Acori their former coach that lead this team from fourth league to Serie B and kept them there for three seasons. Acori was in charge of Adriatic team for six years but then he left because of the lack of ambitions. Livorno are at the top of the standings but they have gone last two games without winning and allowed Bari to move four points ahead. That is why this match is more than important and clearly Toscana side, that beat Rimini in the first part of the season, will go after three new points at Neri.

Rimini didn’t impress against Frosinone
Just like against Brescia they were saved by young Agliardi. They had plenty of problems, the rivals created a lot of chances so they settled for a point in the end , regardless of the fact that they played at home. After a poor start, Adriatici stabilized and winning run saw them head towards the midtable. Seven points in the last three matches allowed them to relax but they are not yet safe even though they are five points ahead of endangered teams. Coach Elvio Selighini was still satisfied with a point against Frosinone, and he stated that at this stage in the season the only thing he is interested in is picking up points in each match so Rimini need only couple of wins to secure their place in the league. They are not playing well at the moment but they have proved to be capable of winning weaker rivals outside of their stadium.

Livorno missed a great opportunity against Cittadella

The problem is in the approach, as they opened the score and had numerical advantage. As Acori said, the problem is in players’ minds. They relaxed too much, failed to finish the rivals and Cittadella got a point for free. Right after the match, Livorno were quarantined as this is a very important match; Diamanti is back after suspension and Amaranti play much better with him in the team. Livorno must play to win, Parma closed the gap and the question is if they can handle the pressure. The play-offs is, of course, the last option but qualification is always uncertain, especially because Brescia too are a well-organized team with a very experienced squad.

Betting Verdict
We don’t think Rimini's form is on the rise and it is hard to expect Aligardi to rescue them every time. Home ground is an advantage but there is not much crowd at Neri and Livorno will have the support of their loyal Ultras and objectively, the visitors are a better team. We believe they can triumph if they score, especially because Rimini haven't got enough strength in-dept . Perhaps home side boss will rest some of the players for the game in Mantova. Anyway, betting on Livorno is the best choice in this midweek Serie B round.
Tip: Livorno, Odds 2.6

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