Aalborg-Man. City
19.03 21:00
Manchester City travel to Denmark to face Aalborg in the second leg of their UEFA Cup fourth round tie knowing that barring a major disaster, they will take their place in the last eight after a 2-0 win at home last week.
It's hard to see City losing this game by three goals or more but Mark Hughes' men have a pretty appalling away record, domestically at least, winning just one of 15 Premier League games.
In the UEFA Cup it's been better - a 2-0 win against Schalke, a 3-1 loss to Racing Santander and a 2-2 draw with Aalborg's compatriots FC Copenhagen last time out added to their two earlier wins over minnows FC Midtjylland and Omonia Nicosia.
It's always difficult to predict what will happen when City take to the field and it's no different here.
Hughes will be familiar with the Danes as they faced rivals Manchester United and Celtic in the group stage of the Champions League, only losing once in the four games, 3-0 at home to United.
Aalborg will need to attack City if they are to get back into this tie and will feel they are more than capable of doing so - they scored nine goals, the same as United and Villarreal in their CL group and netted six in two games against Spaniards Deportivo La Coruna in the last round of this competition.
So there should be goals at the Energi Nord Arena and the evens about more than 2.5 goals looks decent value.
Seven of Aalborg's nine European games (excluding qualifying) would have convered the bet while six of City's eight games have produced three or more goals, including both legs of the tie with Copenhagen.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals, Odds 2.0
No comments:
Post a Comment